do hard things today
market vibes
April 17…)
Lol … I had just finished final corrections on a note I’d been writing since 6 Am…and I saw the headlines … Of course I deleted and wrote this … just charts and the vibe.
in the markets
WTI is down $10/barrel.
Gold is up $60.
S&Ps are making all time highs. XOM is down $6.00 (oh well).
Bonds are up a full point. (hefty TLT short gamma expiration today) so the shorts are going to lean on it. If bonds take out the 200 D MA …I smell blood.
Bitcoin is breaking higher into a Friday IBIT expiration. Hefty gamma but nothing like bonds…
my vibe
Today a powerful new moon in Aries is one of the most intense and transformative lunations in centuries.
On this day, April 17, 2026, an uncommon pile-up of planets including the sun, moon, mercury, mars, saturn, neptune, and chiron (discovered orbiting between saturn and uranus in 1977) cram together in Aries, creating a cosmic alignment that acts like a reset button for you to aim high and do hard things with confidence.
For those who see life in terms of the greater universe, the new moon in Aries is a brief and theurgical window of celestial energy; open for anyone wanting to break old patterns and start anew with momentum.
I think the Iranians got the memo!
JJ
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Charts and data CQG and Bloomberg… occasional cartoons by Gary Larson
Market vibes is not a registered investment advisor. Comments, thoughts and opinions are entirely those of the author without any representations to accuracy and are for informational use only. Any mention of a particular security, index, derivative, or other instrument is NOT a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold that security, index, derivative, or any other related instrument..
Personally I find my ouija board more reliable than astrology & technical analysis in the current market environment. 🤣
I don't know if people get it yet but here's my take. Iran has staged a coup of global proportions. Iran says that since there is a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon INCLUDING HEZBOLLAH they will open the strait and leave it open. BUT the implication is that if Israel starts murdering people in south Lebanon again OR if the USG takes inappropriate actions it will close. It's bloody genius. They WON. Let's see if it holds.