According to Jensen Huang, we lost the AI race already. For reasons that I think have been beaten to death. Alas, one last land acknowledgment before the necessary paperwork for the permit for the natural gas plant is submitted for its initial round of the 48 step process of approval.
In 1996 an economist named Robin Hanson put forth a theory known as the “Great Filter” to serve as a response to Fermi’s Paradox, which asked: “if there’s extraterrestrial life in the universe, why haven’t we seen it?” Anyway, Hanson posits that there is one extremely difficult (impossible) step for life to overcome to become space faring and to do advanced things technologically, like harnessing the fusion of stars: Kardashev scale Type II and III civilizations (we are a Type I).
In 2010 NASA made a small change to the Drake Equation that removed L from the equation and put forth a new variation. L being the length of time an advanced civilization would release detectable signals into space. The effect this had was pretty significant in that the number of potential advanced civilizations existing in the cosmos went from between 10-2000 or so, to millions. The bad news was that it meant that of the potential millions of civilizations that had advanced technologically to a point where they could send signals, all had likely succumbed to “something.” Extinction at some point in the past 13.5 billion years.
As we get closer and closer to creating the thing that would likely allow us to advance on the Kardashev scale, I think more and more about that filter. AI, the great paradox.
Wow, Gm sir, I need another cup of coffeee for this but I'll take it in another direction... if I may...So many of the words we use are abstact. Nothing, never, infinity, time. Jefferson's "All men are created equal." No one knows what that means but everyone knows what it means. Knowledge is an illusion. Zen, Kafka... Hesse. I am the eggman. I am the Walrus. coo coo cachoo. A billion years a trillion dollars.
Ignorance and innocence protect us from the unknown and life allows us to choose our realities instead of conforming to them which is why Jules Verne, Azimov, especially Phillip Pullman are so entertaining! There is another universe in the pages of Hemmingway's Old Man and the Sea and we die a small death when we read the last line.
Now I'm going to read about the Kardashev scale with maria B quacking about the shutdown in the background!
JJ, I think it's smart to not bother much about "informed voting". Bertolt Brecht said this in the 1930s: If elections would change anything, they would be forbidden since long.
Must see tv. This is some crazy shit. OpenAI is floating the idea openly on recorded industry panels the potential desire for tax payers to backstop their debt!!!
Ironic. Ai helps displace worker, then gets bailed out by them in future! #ai
Warwick Powell says that since the price per GFLOP in China is ten percent of what it is in the USA, China will be the future home of AI. The Chinese are moving much of their AI code into open source. Nvidia is planning $0 revenue from China this year, down from a whole bunch. He thinks other people will figure this out long before a trillion dollars is spent on new data centers and the generation capacity to power them.
According to Jensen Huang, we lost the AI race already. For reasons that I think have been beaten to death. Alas, one last land acknowledgment before the necessary paperwork for the permit for the natural gas plant is submitted for its initial round of the 48 step process of approval.
https://www.ft.com/content/53295276-ba8d-4ec2-b0de-081e73b3ba43
In 1996 an economist named Robin Hanson put forth a theory known as the “Great Filter” to serve as a response to Fermi’s Paradox, which asked: “if there’s extraterrestrial life in the universe, why haven’t we seen it?” Anyway, Hanson posits that there is one extremely difficult (impossible) step for life to overcome to become space faring and to do advanced things technologically, like harnessing the fusion of stars: Kardashev scale Type II and III civilizations (we are a Type I).
In 2010 NASA made a small change to the Drake Equation that removed L from the equation and put forth a new variation. L being the length of time an advanced civilization would release detectable signals into space. The effect this had was pretty significant in that the number of potential advanced civilizations existing in the cosmos went from between 10-2000 or so, to millions. The bad news was that it meant that of the potential millions of civilizations that had advanced technologically to a point where they could send signals, all had likely succumbed to “something.” Extinction at some point in the past 13.5 billion years.
As we get closer and closer to creating the thing that would likely allow us to advance on the Kardashev scale, I think more and more about that filter. AI, the great paradox.
Wow, Gm sir, I need another cup of coffeee for this but I'll take it in another direction... if I may...So many of the words we use are abstact. Nothing, never, infinity, time. Jefferson's "All men are created equal." No one knows what that means but everyone knows what it means. Knowledge is an illusion. Zen, Kafka... Hesse. I am the eggman. I am the Walrus. coo coo cachoo. A billion years a trillion dollars.
Ignorance and innocence protect us from the unknown and life allows us to choose our realities instead of conforming to them which is why Jules Verne, Azimov, especially Phillip Pullman are so entertaining! There is another universe in the pages of Hemmingway's Old Man and the Sea and we die a small death when we read the last line.
Now I'm going to read about the Kardashev scale with maria B quacking about the shutdown in the background!
Have an excellent day
Great comment imo. Have to digest that.
Tariffs are an anachronism. Friction.
AI is coming, but it’s still just Google 2.0. + Energy.
China holds the cards on the energy front because grid - and has an excess, because renewables. Grok it.
JJ, you are a sage.
The only read I must have. 🥂
JJ, I think it's smart to not bother much about "informed voting". Bertolt Brecht said this in the 1930s: If elections would change anything, they would be forbidden since long.
that is so true
Must see tv. This is some crazy shit. OpenAI is floating the idea openly on recorded industry panels the potential desire for tax payers to backstop their debt!!!
Ironic. Ai helps displace worker, then gets bailed out by them in future! #ai
https://youtu.be/CxHTH8rDafo
So the market crashes on tariff threats and then…crashes on tariff reversal? Asking for a friend 😀
Your 2 hours reading up on NJ candidates is 1 hour and 50 minutes more than the average voter spent before they voted. You were down right informed!
Warwick Powell says that since the price per GFLOP in China is ten percent of what it is in the USA, China will be the future home of AI. The Chinese are moving much of their AI code into open source. Nvidia is planning $0 revenue from China this year, down from a whole bunch. He thinks other people will figure this out long before a trillion dollars is spent on new data centers and the generation capacity to power them.